Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 7.372613 8.619098 9.985583 11.591228 13.422477 15.442086 17.834105
2026-02-08 5.035870 6.644203 8.597950 11.128957 14.302047 18.127961 23.067332
2026-02-15 3.711299 5.402059 7.632006 10.750638 14.954969 20.376005 27.834804
2026-02-22 3.065529 4.840179 7.343782 11.067596 16.384740 23.608349 34.045492
2026-03-01 2.608244 4.425022 7.143575 11.407760 17.801511 26.877376 40.534489
2026-03-08 2.101021 3.823486 6.551991 11.054446 18.123814 28.577635 44.909393
2026-03-15 1.729220 3.361052 6.086664 10.798951 18.514048 30.350037 49.469544
2026-03-22 1.573311 3.234391 6.135862 11.351430 20.191342 34.167968 57.367751
2026-03-29 1.413714 3.069296 6.088931 11.722973 21.590824 37.641427 64.969506
2026-04-05 1.230391 2.823771 5.859614 11.738975 22.377140 40.170281 71.227441
2026-04-12 1.059266 2.569503 5.574028 11.609402 22.881056 42.248476 76.869184
2026-04-19 0.897878 2.303902 5.225463 11.312073 23.040810 43.733593 81.594259
2026-04-26 0.751991 2.053854 4.891768 11.044014 23.307371 45.566326 87.316356
2026-05-03 0.611865 1.787666 4.485610 10.585978 23.185389 46.739932 92.069006
2026-05-10 0.503305 1.571793 4.149681 10.221249 23.195702 48.143193 97.333269
2026-05-17 0.454258 1.499233 4.126598 10.523731 24.575236 52.210138 107.765211
2026-05-24 0.412511 1.436518 4.115567 10.848898 26.029913 56.528012 118.963980
2026-05-31 0.343543 1.276178 3.834688 10.511021 26.031626 57.994972 124.825825
2026-06-07 0.289849 1.146860 3.608322 10.266735 26.203018 59.800385 131.454339
2026-06-14 0.273535 1.134350 3.691921 10.795000 28.159350 65.392917 145.943604
2026-06-21 0.252225 1.099218 3.706787 11.150334 29.750612 70.337287 159.439427
2026-06-28 0.222381 1.025085 3.596770 11.165638 30.543469 73.647413 169.809163
2026-07-05 0.192562 0.941586 3.443079 11.041711 30.986584 76.231812 178.835170